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Ecosystem Land Use Modelling

Key modelling activities undertaken were to:

  • Parameterise, calibrate and test the ECOSSE (Estimating Carbon in Organic Soils - Sequestration and Emissions) process-based model using field measurements and assess model sensitivities and uncertainty
  •  Apply the ECOSSE model spatially in the UK to 2050
  •  Examine spatial patterns of soil carbon stock change and greenhouse gas emissions according to crop type, soil type, management, climate region and climate change
  • Develop an Ecosystem Modelling Tool  to allow non-specialist users to explore the consequences of land use change arising from bioenergy cropping, in terms of soil carbon and greenhouse gas emissions

Process-based modelling ouptuts

The powerful combination of field-scale measurements and sophisticated modelling has given ELUM the capacity to enhance and validate a range of process models to deliver an Ecosystem Modelling Tool. This high-resolution tool allows users to explore the impact of direct land-use change to bioenergy crops on soil carbon and greenhouse gases down to the 1 km2 level. Users have a number of different ways in which to select the geographical area of interest, add or exclude different land constraints, crop types and then select their chosen time-frame through which to assess the impacts of land-use change.

Ecosystem Land Use Modelling Tool

After rigorous peer review and independent scrutiny, the Ecosystem Land Use model will be made available via the Centre for Ecology & Hydrology website. This model will give policymakers, landowners and commercial bioenergy growers the confidence to evaluate likely impacts of bioenergy land use change through to 2050. 

This project was commissioned and funded by the Energy Technologies Institute

energy technologies institute

The ELUM Consortium is led by the Centre for Ecology & Hydrology (CEH) and includes the following organisations:

  • Centre for Ecology & Hydrology
  • University of Aberdeen
  • University of Southampton
  • Forest Research
  • Aberystwith University
  • University of Edinburgh
  • The University of York